• Could COVID-19 pandemic create a ‘perfect storm’ for wholesale electricity prices?

    In part one of this two-part series we discuss our medium-term expectations for the National Electricity Market (NEM), specifically the impact of COVID-19 on forecast wholesale prices in line with […]

  • INSIGHTS: Inside the ALP’s Climate Policy – Implications for the Safeguard 2.0 market

    The ALP today released its “Climate Change Action Plan” policy, designed to establish a framework to meet Australia’s long-term emissions reduction obligations. The cornerstone of the policy is the extension […]

  • INSIGHTS: So what is the current Australian carbon price?

    As the design of the National Energy Guarantee (NEG) passes another milestone, and the seventh Emissions Reduction Fund (ERF) auction draws closer, in this update we take a closer look […]

  • BRIEFING: Emissions cut of 11% by 2025 | MAC curve analysis

    Ahead of the release of the Australian government’s post-2020 emissions reduction target, in this Analyst Update we review our earlier Marginal Abatement Cost (MAC) analysis of emissions reduction opportunities across […]

  • TALKING POINTS: Spotting the Price After the First ERF auction

    The Clean Energy Regulator has maintained a laissez-faire approach to the Emissions Reduction Fund by limiting price transparency as it seeks to foster a ‘competitive’ market – albeit by undercutting […]

  • TALKING POINTS: Safeguards Paper: A missed opportunity?

    In our latest Talking Points, we review the government’s recently released Consultation Paper on the ERF Safeguard Mechanism. While the ‘light touch’ compliance scheme is a short-term win for the […]

  • ANALYST UPDATE: Safeguard scheme to erode ERF abatement?

    Following a short delay, the government’s “safeguard mechanism” Discussion Paper is expected to be released over the next fortnight, with Australia’s updated Abatement Task and Emissions Projections also in the […]

  • BRIEFING: Energy efficiency to drive emissions cuts, shape ERF

    Analysis indicates that energy efficiency activities will play the largest role in reducing Australia’s greenhouse gas emissions, contributing over 40 per cent of all emissions abatement in the Australian economy […]

  • MARKET BRIEFING: The end of the road for the CFI?

    Unless legislative action is taken to support the Carbon Farming Initiative (CFI), Australia’s land-sector may lose investment of up to $1.4bn, with cumulative supply of Australian Carbon Credit Units (ACCUs) […]

  • WHITE PAPER REVIEW: Industry to capitalise on ERF flexibility?

    The recently released Emissions Reduction Fund White Paper outlines the government’s favoured design for its Direct Action Plan, proposing that the safeguard mechanism be split from the Emissions Reduction Fund […]

  • POLICY UPDATE: The Road to 39 Votes for Direct Action

    Although the Western Australia Senate election re-run threatened to further muddy the balance of power from July 1, a repeat of the 4-2 September 2013 result for the right has […]

  • BRIEFING: A perfect storm to save local policy?

    The upcoming Western Australia Senate re-election shapes as a critical event in defining Australia’s climate policy landscape – notably the future of the Carbon Price Mechanism, the Renewable Energy Target […]

  • A detailed look at Australia’s abatement challenge

    The cost of future greenhouse gas emissions abatement is dependant on the size of the challenge facing Australia in order to achieve it’s climate commitments. The Climate Change Authority’s proposal […]

  • Green Paper Review: Direct Action’s New Design Elements

    The recently released Emissions Reduction Fund Green Paper introduces a range of new – and perhaps surprising – elements to the government’s proposed ‘baseline and credit’ scheme, suggesting that a […]

  • Scaling Direct Action for a 15% target by 2015

    RepuTex analysis indicates that Australia’s 5% emissions reduction target is at the lower end of the global scale, with the national target needing to increase by at least 10% to […]

  • AU Emissions – One Step Forward, Two Steps Back?

    In this briefing we consider the recent government statement that Australia’s abatement task has reduced from 750  to 440 Mt, analysing the likely methodologies being applied to achieve this new […]

  • The carbon windfall ‘game’: Impact of a mid-year CPM repeal

    A mid-year repeal of the Australian CPM may lead to a windfall of A$2bn for the Metals, Energy, Materials and Power sectors, with potential for entities to ‘game’ assistance programs […]

  • Direct Action: Lower Emissions, Lower Cost to Industry?

    RepuTex analysis indicates that Direct Action could drive savings for industry – and emissions reductions – if calibrated to meet Australia’s 5% emissions target. RepuTex studied the impact of Direct […]

  • Policy Briefing: The LRET and the Australian Carbon Price

    This brief, prepared by RepuTex and commissioned by WWF-Australia, examines the relationship between the Australian carbon price trajectory and renewable energy generation. The examination is based on modelling the impact […]

  • Change of Leadership Change in Carbon Price Policy

    According to RepuTex’s Carbon Update, the succession of Kevin Rudd as leader of the Australian Labor Party is likely to lead to speculation that the fixed price period under the […]