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BRIEFING: The CAC is out of the bag – Review of permanent exit data released by the Clean Energy Regulator

On August 25, the Clean Energy Regulator published the first data on permanent exit arrangements for Fixed Delivery Carbon Abatement Contracts (CACs), providing new visibility over contracted ACCU volumes, deliveries and exits. Initial data aligns with RepuTex modelling, with early exits beginning to withdraw supply from the market, while significant uncertainty remains around under-performing contracts.

In this briefing, we analyse the new data through RepuTex’s Supply Explorer, compare the CER’s near-term projections with our Carbon Market Outlook, and examine what the emerging exit profile could mean for the broader ACCU market.

Permanent exit arrangements – A brief summary

In December

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