Electricity

Wholesale electricity prices to fall, but renewable energy investment slump may hit

Share on FacebookShare on Google+Tweet about this on TwitterShare on LinkedInEmail this to someone

Below, we summarise our latest forecast for wholesale electricity and Large-scale Generation Certificate (LGC) prices in the National Electricity Market (NEM) 2020-40, contained in our quarterly Australian Electricity Outlook (AEO).

The AEO presents RepuTex’s forecasts for wholesale price development over both medium- (16 quarters) and long-term horizons (20 years), providing an outlook for wholesale electricity prices for each region of the NEM in line with RepuTex’s view of the most likely market drivers and the current transition of the energy industry.

The AEO also provides an outlook for LGC prices, along with forecasts for market outcomes (such as change in capacity and generation mix) and analysis of the major factors that will impact on the electricity market in the forecast period.

The below summary describes our forecast changes in capacity and wholesale electricity prices in annual average (all regions) terms.

Restricted Access

This is a subscriber report. Please login to access this content.

Become a Carbon Insider today

Unlock our latest analysis, briefings and price information with our new Carbon Insider service.

Click below to see our plans.

Sign up for regular insights

LATEST UPDATES

  • Carbon Markets

    UPDATE: Carbon Offset Market Report – Buyers ‘rush to regeneration’ ahead of ACCU review – but are HIR projects without risk?

    Share on FacebookShare on Google+Tweet about this on TwitterShare on LinkedInEmail this to someone

    The price for Australian Carbon Credit Units (ACCUs) has continued to drift sideways, with spot […]

    Research Insights | July 4th, 2022
  • Carbon Markets

    REPORT: Modelling Potential Futures for Australia’s Safeguard Mechanism (Carbon Market Institute)

    Share on FacebookShare on Google+Tweet about this on TwitterShare on LinkedInEmail this to someone

    RepuTex has been engaged by the Carbon Market Institute (CMI) to analyse the current operation […]

    Research Insights | June 30th, 2022
  • Carbon Markets

    UPDATE: Carbon Offset Market Report – Nature-based ACCUs dominate as divergence between broker and bilateral spot price grows

    Share on FacebookShare on Google+Tweet about this on TwitterShare on LinkedInEmail this to someone

    The spot price for Australian Carbon Credit Units (ACCUs) fell 0.7% on the week, with […]

    Research Insights | June 13th, 2022
  • Carbon Markets

    UPDATE: Carbon Offset Market Report – Positive sentiment returns as ACCU buyers favour regeneration over land-based avoidance projects

    Share on FacebookShare on Google+Tweet about this on TwitterShare on LinkedInEmail this to someone

    The change of government has proven to be supportive for the local ACCU market, with […]

    Research Insights | May 30th, 2022
  • Carbon Markets

    INSIGHTS: Election 2022 – Market impacts, and where to next for the ALP’s “Safeguard Mechanism 2.0”?

    Share on FacebookShare on Google+Tweet about this on TwitterShare on LinkedInEmail this to someone

    The Federal Election has been run and won, with the Australian Labor Party (ALP) confident […]

    Research Insights | May 24th, 2022
  • Share on FacebookShare on Google+Tweet about this on TwitterShare on LinkedInEmail this to someone