Electricity Markets

Pool price forecasting (Australian Electricity Outlook)

RepuTex’s Australian Electricity Outlook (AEO) is our flagship quarterly outlook for LGCs and pool prices across the National Electricity Market. RepuTex AEO provides a comprehensive view of both medium-term prices (over the next 16 quarters) and long-term prices through to 2040, providing decision makers with a deeper understanding of future price trends, scenarios and sensitivities, and the major factors driving the future shape of the market.

Custom price forecasting 

Our custom analysis provides advanced forecasting of pool prices to suit customer needs. Prices may be modelled and analysed on the half-hour level, with customised generator bidding behaviour, load patterns and weather conditions applied to understand possible price development and exceedance probabilities (i.e. P50-90) under a range of conditions.

Wind and solar resource value & market risk (EnerRISK)

EnerRISK is an advanced data-analytics tool which helps investors and developers to better evaluate complex wind and solar meteorological patterns and renewable energy market value. EnerRISK applies advanced data filtering techniques to model the statistical properties of wind and solar meteorological regimes. In better characterising the meteorological system into dominant patterns, analysis provides project developers with unique statistical insights on the time-value of wind and solar production at different sites, and potential market risks as new capacity is added to different meteorological clusters.

Production and Revenue Forecasting

Our production and revenue forecasts draw on our proprietary models to analyse the impact of likely new developments in the system, simulating potential outcomes for participants to a high level of detail, including half-hourly revenue, and the impact of constraint conditions.

Policy Modelling

RepuTex regularly undertakes bespoke policy modelling for regulators, policymakers and market stakeholders. Analysis aims to solve future market shape and pricing questions under alternative state or federal policy settings, emissions and renewables targets, and change in future capacity – helping end users to better understand how the market may develop under a materially different conditions.