Carbon Markets >>
Service Background >>
Published via our EnergyIQ platform, RepuTex’s Carbon Intelligence service combines our market-leading modelling and forecasts with our market data and price information, providing decision makers with in-depth coverage of the Australian carbon market, and key policy developments. Click below to learn more >>
Our work and credentials >>
1. The industry standard
With 1,500+ users from over 300 companies, EnergyIQ is the leading intelligence resource for Australia’s low-carbon transition. Our clients represent:
- Over 85% of Safeguard Mechanism covered emissions – including Australia’s largest energy, mining, metals, transport and manufacturing companies
- Over 90% of all ACCUs issued in the Australian market originated from RepuTex clients
- Over 90% of all traded volumes in the Australian OTC carbon market
2. We designed the Safeguard Mechanism reform – and Australia’s 2030 emissions target
RepuTex modelling for the Australian government underpinned the Safeguard Mechanism reforms, including emissions intensity baseline calculations, and decline rates to meet Australia’s 2030 target. Our modelling also set Australia’s national emissions reduction target (43% reduction on 2005 levels by 2030) and Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) under the Paris Agreement.
3. Our modelling underpins Australia’s official emissions projections
RepuTex forecasts and abatement modelling supports Australia’s National Emissions Projections (DCCEEW) for the Mining, Metals, Oil & Gas, Transport and Land sectors – the Government’s official forward view of Australia’s emissions trajectory.
4. RepuTex market data sets the “default price” for the Safeguard Mechanism
Our market data underpins the ”default price” for compliance entities under Australia’s Safeguard Mechanism, reflecting our market-leading coverage of the Australian traded market (1.8x larger than any other single source). The same data that underpins Australia’s official Default Prescribed Unit Price (DPUP) flows into our ACCU Benchmark Price, and our daily carbon price assessments.
5. “Data & analytics firm of the year” (Energy Risk) – 2024 and 2025
RepuTex was named “Data & analytics firm of the year” at the Energy Risk Asia Awards in 2024 and 2025, recognised as the most outstanding climate risk data provider across the Asian energy commodities markets.
6. AustCham Westpac Australia–China Business Award
RepuTex was recognised as the winner of the AustCham China Light and Power Australia China Business Award for energy and climate research across Asia-Pacific.
Prices and Market Data >>
RepuTex is the leading price reporting agency for the Australian carbon market, underpinned by our industry-leading coverage and our independent, IOSCO-aligned methodology.
Did you know: In 2025-26, our coverage of the Australian carbon market (spot and derivatives reported transactions) was 1.8x larger than any other single data source.
Our prices and market data content includes:
- 50+ ACCU price assessments – Coverage of all traded methods, including our benchmark ACCU price, launched in 2018, supporting the the government’s “default price” under the Safeguard Mechanism.
- Trade log – Log of all spot and derivatives reported trades including full history of over 5,000 transactions, dating back to the commencement of spot trading in 2017-18.
- Forward curves – Forward curves for all methods, aligned to our cost of carry/overnight index swap (OIS) price model, extending over 84-months (7-years).
- Derivatives settlements – Detailed breakdown of options and forward settlements.
- Extended analytics – Deep dive into underlying market trends including rolling averages, seasonality, volatility, bid-ask spreads and market at close data.
Did you know: Our market data underpins the government’s “default price” under the Safeguard Mechanism, which sets the standard price for carbon units under Australia’s compliance scheme.
Our IOSCO-certified methodology >>
All RepuTex prices and benchmarks are published via our IOSCO-certified daily Survey Panel process, with market participants reporting trades directly to our Melbourne-based assessment team.
In 2023–24, RepuTex became the first Australian price reporting agency (PRA) to comply with the IOSCO PRA Principles, establishing a recognised price benchmark for Australia’s carbon market.
What makes PRAs, and our price benchmarks, IOSCO-compliant?
- Independent: We have no vested interest in the markets we report on. Unlike banks, brokers, or trading platforms, we are not compensated by transaction volume or value. We don’t own or trade the units we price.
- Transparent: Our methodology and governance framework ensure data quality and integrity, with strict exclusion rules for related-party or anomalous trades that could distort pricing.
- On the ground experts: Our assessment team is based in Australia, with deep understanding of local market structures, behavior, and participants – underpinned by our large client footprint.
- Auditable: Our methodology, governance, and control processes undergo external assurance each year (by BDO) to confirm compliance with IOSCO PRA Principles.
Did you know: As an auditable reference price, our benchmarks may be adopted as a Commodity Reference Price (CRP) to set fair market value in financial disclosures, contracts, and mark-to-market valuations.
Analysis and Outlooks >>
Our award-winning research lies at the heart of our Carbon Intelligence service.
Our modelling and forecasts have shaped Australia’s carbon market since its establishment in 2011, providing trusted forward-looking insights to trading, strategy and policy decision makers.
Our subscriber research content includes:
- Quarterly Carbon Market Outlook (CMO) – Our flagship CMO, published each quarter, forecasts ACCU and SMC prices over a 10-year horizon, along with underlying supply-demand fundamentals.
- Scenario analysis – Access our in-house Central Case view of market development, and our alternative H/M/L pathways based on changing technology costs, and policy sensitivities.
- Policy Risk Matrix – Mapping of key risks likely to impact the market, including regulatory risks, market risks, political risks, and changes under the 2026-27 Safeguard Mechanism policy review.
- In-depth modelling outcomes – Access the full depth of our modelling each quarter, including our full Technical Report (85 pages), standalone Scenario Analysis report, and short-form Summary Briefing (10 pages).
- Topical analyst insights – Stay on top of the key themes impacting the market via our weekly market update, regular analyst insights and briefing reports, and our in-person events and online webinars.
Did you know: Our research has supported some of the largest policy developments in Australia, including setting Australia’s national emissions target and NDC, and the design of Safeguard Mechanism reforms. Each year, our modelling underpins Australia’s emissions projections, published by the Australian Government.
Cost Curves, Tools, and Company Databases >>
Our technology cost curves and company-level datasets provide the analytical foundation for our forecasts – giving you direct access to the modeling inputs that power our outlooks.
Presented via our data explorers and tools, drill down into key areas of underlying focus, such as decarbonisation technology costs, total potential, and readiness, or company-level outcomes, such as forecast compliance demand.
Our technical data tools and content includes:
- Compliance Explorer – Interactive tool to view forecast Safeguard Mechanism compliance demand and underlying metrics (e.g. facility baselines, SMC creation, net position), by total market, region, and sector.
- Company Data – Drill down into our proprietary company and asset-level forecast datasets, including emissions, decarbonisation uptake, and compliance position.
- Marginal abatement cost (MAC) curves – View technology costs at the regional level, with local input costs, availability constraints, and non-financial barriers (technical, environmental, commercial and institutional).
- Technology potential and uptake – Evaluate theoretical abatement potential, commercial readiness, and forecast adoption, showing when key technologies may become viable and scale.
- Offset supply curves – Long-run marginal cost (LRMC) of carbon offset supply and total potential by method.
- Supply Explorer – Track latest ACCU issuance by method and view the project registration pipeline to understand future supply.
Our technical datasets and tools can be accessed within our subscription packages, or as standalone modules, providing you the flexibility to access deeper knowledge to suit your needs – when you need it.
Access to our Team >>
Direct access to our research team is included with our services, giving you a clear line of sight into our modelling, recent market activity, price formation, and key policy developments. Use the ‘Ask an Analyst’ chat in the EnergyIQ platform, or contact us for a briefing.
No counter. No limit. Direct access when you need it.
Explore the EnergyIQ platform – prices, forecasts, and tools for Australia’s low-carbon transition.
Carbon Markets
Live prices, market data, and forecasts for the Australian carbon compliance market
Climate Scenarios
Climate aligned carbon price scenarios (1.5°-3°C) for mandatory ASRS reporting
Power & Renewables
Wholesale price forecasts, NEM emissions intensity, and REC market intelligence
Energy Transition
Decarbonisation investment, technology cost curves, and net-zero pathways