Yesterday we published our latest Carbon Market Outlook (CMO) for the Australian carbon market, presenting our detailed modelling and expectations for Australian Carbon Credit Unit (ACCU) and Safeguard Mechanism Credit (SMC) prices over a 10-year horizon, along with underlying supply-demand fundamentals.
Notably, our CMO incorporates the impact of new coal mine methane emissions reporting amendments, actioned earlier this year, which we model will trigger a material change in Safeguard Mechanism covered emissions – and SMC issuance – leading to a notable re-balancing of the market, including forecast ACCU/SMC prices.
New coal mine methane reporting will therefore have significant implications that
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