Carbon Markets

EU levy could impose carbon price of A$65-140 on Australian exports, with more climate tariffs to come

Share on FacebookShare on Google+Tweet about this on TwitterShare on LinkedInEmail this to someone

The European Parliament’s environment committee last week endorsed the proposed Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), requiring importers of polluting industrial goods to the European Union (EU) to pay a border levy – by no later than 2023 – based on the volume of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions used in making and shipping their products.

The new regulation would initially apply a carbon cost to products sold into the EU including steel, cement, chemicals and fertilisers – not widely exported by Australia to EU markets – but would eventually extend to all commodities and products covered by the EU’s carbon market.

Moreover, the shift from rhetoric to implementation of carbon adjustment fees now represents a real risk to Australian exporters, with US President Joe Biden also proposing to implement carbon border fees or quotas on carbon-intensive goods, while UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson is considering using the G7 presidency this year to try and forge an alliance on carbon border taxes.

The EU CBAM framework will be voted on by the full legislature in March, informing the European Commission’s upcoming carbon border policy proposal due in June.

By forcing companies to pay a fee to sell carbon-intensive goods, the EU aims to level the playing field for domestic industrial emitting companies as they invest to reduce GHG emissions to meet compliance targets under the EU emissions trading scheme (ETS). Australian exporters would therefore be forced to buy carbon permits at prices which mirror the EU ETS, with European Union Allowances (EUAs) currently trading at a record-high of €38.56 (A$60), with prices forecast to significantly increase to 2030.

In this article, we take a closer look at the EU’s proposed CBAM framework, and EUA prices through to 2030, along with implications for local policy development.

Background to the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM)

In December 2019, the European Commission adopted its Communication on the European Green Deal, introducing a proposal for a carbon border levy to ensure a level playing field for domestic companies as the EU increases its climate ambition – should differences in the levels of global climate ambition remain.

Restricted Access

This is a subscriber report. Please login to access this content.

Tour our EnergyIQ platform

RepuTex research insights and market data is published via our EnergyIQ platform.

Click below to learn more about our services.

Sign up for regular insights

LATEST UPDATES

  • Carbon Markets

    UPDATE: Federal election comes to a head – How could a minority government impact the market?

    Share on FacebookShare on Google+Tweet about this on TwitterShare on LinkedInEmail this to someone

    Despite the shortened trading week, robust volumes were reported across the brokered and non-brokered (direct) […]

    Research Insights | April 28th, 2025
  • Carbon Markets

    BRIEFING: Behind the numbers – Detailed review of FY24 Safeguard Mechanism compliance data

    Share on FacebookShare on Google+Tweet about this on TwitterShare on LinkedInEmail this to someone

    The publishing of final 2023-24 compliance data for the reformed Safeguard Mechanism scheme adds significant […]

    Briefings, Research Insights | April 23rd, 2025
  • Carbon Markets

    UPDATE: ACCU prices flip-flop on information overload // Analyst reaction to FY24 Safeguard compliance data

    Share on FacebookShare on Google+Tweet about this on TwitterShare on LinkedInEmail this to someone

    All eyes last week were on the Clean Energy Regulator’s release of emissions and liability […]

    Research Insights | April 22nd, 2025
  • Carbon Markets

    UPDATE: Large Coal and LNG facilities set to benefit from SMC issuances ahead of FY24 compliance data release

    Share on FacebookShare on Google+Tweet about this on TwitterShare on LinkedInEmail this to someone

    While seasonal voluntary demand continued to show signs of uplift, ACCU prices gave back some […]

    Research Insights | April 14th, 2025
  • Carbon Markets

    NOTICE: Launch of new “Company Emissions Analyser” – Evaluate asset and company carbon exposure

    Share on FacebookShare on Google+Tweet about this on TwitterShare on LinkedInEmail this to someone

    As high emitting companies come under increasing pressure to disclose climate-related risks, scrutiny of corporate […]

    Notices, Research Insights | April 7th, 2025
  • Share on FacebookShare on Google+Tweet about this on TwitterShare on LinkedInEmail this to someone