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Carbon Markets Climate Scenarios

OUTLOOK: Australian Climate Scenarios Outlook – 1.5°C to 3°C carbon price pathways to 2050

RepuTex has published its Australian Climate Scenarios Outlook to 2050, providing a long-term view of how Australia’s carbon market could develop under 1.5°C to 3°C aligned temperature pathways.

The Climate Scenarios Outlook assesses how Australian policy would need to evolve to meet a series of global climate pathways, aligned with IEA and IPCC references, and the resulting carbon price outcomes through to 2050.

Modelling presents three price scenarios, including 1.5°C, Delayed 1.5°C and 3°C pathways, with required policy settings, underlying supply-demand outcomes and industrial decarbonisation by industry. Scenarios also consider diverging fossil fuel production pathways to meet each specified emissions constraint.

For carbon market participants, scenarios provide a reference for the potential upper range of Australian carbon prices as policy ambition increases, while supporting transition risk analysis and mandatory reporting under the Australian Sustainability Reporting Standards (ASRS) and AASB S2.

Refer to our Climate Scenarios Explorer for full modelling outcomes and underlying scenario datasets >>

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