Carbon Markets Outlook

OUTLOOK: Medium-term Carbon Market Outlook – Technical Report, Mar 2025

Our latest Carbon Market Outlook (CMO) for the Australian carbon market has now been published. This quarterly CMO presents our detailed modelling and expectations for Australian Carbon Credit Unit (ACCU) and Safeguard Mechanism Credit (SMC) prices over a 10-year horizon, along with underlying supply-demand fundamentals.

The below “Technical Report” presents our full Central Case modelling, including deep dives into industrial decarbonisation and low-emissions technology uptake, compliance demand, and our forecasts for ACCU supply. The “Summary Report” provides a short-form overview of key pricing and fundamental outcomes.

These reports are published under our Australian Carbon Intelligence service. Click below to access the report, or click here to take a tour of our EnergyIQ platform.

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