Our latest Carbon Market Outlook (CMO) for the Australian carbon market has now been published. This quarterly CMO presents our detailed modelling and expectations for Australian Carbon Credit Unit (ACCU) and Safeguard Mechanism Credit (SMC) prices over a 10-year horizon to 2035, and underlying supply-demand fundamentals.
Following the Clean Energy Regulator’s (CER) newly announced permanent exit arrangement for Fixed Delivery Carbon Abatement Contracts (CACs), in this Outlook, we model expected impacts on the ACCU market, including the implications for available issuance and price development.
The below “Technical Report” (85 pages) presents our detailed Central Case modelling, including deep dives into industrial decarbonisation and low-emissions technology uptake, compliance demand, and our forecasts for ACCU supply.
Other links:
- Summary Report: Refer to our “Summary Report” (15 pages) for a short-form overview of key pricing and fundamental outcomes.
- Scenario Report: Refer to our accompanying “Scenario Report” for modelling of alternative price pathways and sensitivities.
These reports are published under our Australian Carbon Intelligence service. Access the reports below, or take a tour of our EnergyIQ platform.
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