RepuTex’s latest Australian Electricity Outlook (AEO) is now available.
The AEO provides a quarterly assessment of wholesale electricity prices and transition risk across the National Electricity Market (NEM), supporting procurement and investment decision-making for large C&I energy users.
This edition introduces RepuTex’s Transition Risk Index (TRI) – a proprietary forward-looking indicator that measures where and when system risk and instability is building across each NEM region, helping energy buyers identify changing procurement conditions beyond wholesale price forecasts alone.
This report includes:
- Review of wholesale electricity prices and market developments across the NEM over the previous quarter.
- Transition Risk Index (TRI) by region, including historical and forecast system risk, underlying risk drivers, and procurement implications.
- Wholesale electricity price forecasts for all NEM regions over medium-term (16 quarters) and long-term horizons (25-years).
- Alternative scenarios, including AEMO 2026 ISP reference pathways and delivery timing sensitivities.
- Regional emissions intensity and Residual Mix Factors (RMFs) supporting electricity emissions and renewable procurement analysis.
- Forecast NEM fundamentals, including renewable and storage deployment, transmission delivery, thermal exits and generation mix.
Access and export interactive datasets via our NEM Forecast Explorer within EnergyIQ >>
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