Carbon Markets

UPDATE: Key ACCU levels hold firm despite lull in activity; LGC traded volumes grow as compliance year ends

Last week saw recent trading patterns repeat as ACCUs traded choppily around sporadic SMC flows. Despite this, analysis indicates prices remain well supported, with 87% of year-to-date activity trading within a tight $1/t range – the lower bound of which has accounted for 23% of turnover alone.

With the surrender deadline for the large-scale generation certificate (LGC) compliance market passing last week, market data published on our EnergyIQ platform indicates that LGC traded volumes increased over the 2025 compliance year, led by a large increase in options trading.

In this update, we also summarise the key outcomes of the recently published Carbon Leakage Review, discussed further in this morning’s Briefing note.

RepuTex’s Carbon Weekly report breaks down activity in the Australian exchange-traded and OTC carbon markets (spot and derivatives) over the past week, including key trends and drivers, our latest pricing and benchmarks, and our daily forward curves.

ACCU prices choppy, yet rangebound, as SMC flow anchors support

Total traded volumes across the Australian exchange-traded and over the counter (OTC) carbon markets fell to a 6-week low of 405k last week (-285k WoW) – below the compliance year-to-date average (716k) and the February 2025 weekly average (636k).

Spot market

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