UPDATE: Outlook for ACCU supply and offset prices in Australia through to 2030

As discussion increases over the role of domestic and international carbon credits in Australia, in this update, we present our outlook for supply of Australian carbon credit units (ACCUs) through to 2030.

Analysis maps total volume of supply, and estimated offset prices, based on forecast demand from entities covered by the NEG and safeguard schemes, providing an initial price guide for covered facilities and a reference point for offset developers active in the ERF and secondary market.

Key findings include:

• While international carbon offsets have historically been perceived as “low cost”, we anticipate a steep curve for units in