Carbon Markets
ALERT: Australian carbon offset price hits 4-year high, more price increases ahead?
The price of Australian Carbon Credit Units (ACCUs) has continued its recent climb, reaching a four-year high of $17.50/t, in line with modelled clearing prices at the first ERF auction […]
OUTLOOK: Carbon windfall gains …or losses? Long-term carbon price outlook
The price of Australian Carbon Credit Units (ACCUs) has rebounded to a 5-month high of $16.37/t in October, a 10 per cent increase from a 12-month low of $14.80 in […]
Market Balance
UPDATE: Could LGCs deliver least cost external abatement for state policy design?
As states continue to work with industry towards achieving net zero GHG emissions targets, policymakers have sought to understand the cost and opportunity to reduce emissions across different sectors of […]
The marginal cost of net-zero emissions under the Paris Agreement
Australia has ratified the Paris Agreement, which aims to ‘strengthen the global response to the threat of climate change’ by limiting the increase in the global average temperature to ‘well […]
INSIGHTS: So what is the current Australian carbon spot price?
As the federal election draws closer, considerable attention is being paid to the ALP’s proposed Safeguard Mechanism amendment, which proposes to tighten emissions limits for high emitting industrial facilities via […]
Paris target scenarios
Sectoral Emissions
National Emissions
Australian MAC curves
ACCU issuance
Price forecasts
UPDATE: Running to stand still – Industry baselines under the Safeguard Mechanism
A critical component of both the ALP and Coalition climate policy frameworks is the ‘Safeguard Mechanism’, requiring around 300 of Australia’s largest emitting industrial facilities (excluding the generation sector) to […]
INSIGHTS: Inside the ALP’s Climate Policy – Implications for the Safeguard 2.0 market
The ALP today released its “Climate Change Action Plan” policy, designed to establish a framework to meet Australia’s long-term emissions reduction obligations. The cornerstone of the policy is the extension […]
RepuTex Connect
Forecast ACCU prices under the Climate Solutions Fund – High road or the low road?
In late February the Australian Government announced an additional $2 billion in funding for the Emissions Reduction Fund (ERF), rebranding the scheme the Climate Solutions Fund (CSF). The additional funding […]
WEBINAR: An Australian carbon price under Safeguard 2.0 – What, when, how much?
Dear Subscriber, Thanks for your interest in today’s webinar, discussing the current Australian carbon price, and what the market look like under the ALP’s re-worked “Safeguard Mechanism 2.0”. Please view the […]
Safeguard mechanism 2.0 – A carbon price under the ALP’s tighter baseline scheme
The ALP is expected to announce a plan to tighten the government’s safeguard mechanism framework, requiring Australia’s largest emitting industrial companies to reduce emissions to meet a 45% economy-wide emissions […]
EPA Provisions – Marginal cost and availability of offsetting LNG emissions in WA
The Western Australian Environmental Protection Authority (EPA) has released strengthened policy guidance for high emitting projects to offset greenhouse gas emissions. RepuTex was engaged to model the ‘price’ and ‘type’ […]
UPDATE: Carbon price may double to $35/t in 2030 for industry sector
With the electricity sector locked into the National Energy Guarantee (NEG), other sectors of the economy will be called on to contribute to Australia’s 2030 target, with high emitting energy, […]
INSIGHTS: So what is the current Australian carbon price?
As the design of the National Energy Guarantee (NEG) passes another milestone, and the seventh Emissions Reduction Fund (ERF) auction draws closer, in this update we take a closer look […]
Small ERF auction volumes to open window for high contract prices
The seventh Emissions Reduction Fund (ERF) auction will take place next week (June 6-7), with $265 million remaining in the government’s $2.55bn fund. In line with our previous auction outlook, […]
Service Alert: Update to the RepuTex Connect client platform
Dear Subscriber, RepuTex recently released an update for its REPUTEX CONNECT client portal, providing a new home for our Australian electricity and carbon price insights. RepuTex Connect brings together our […]
Choose your own baseline – Industrial emissions and the Safeguard Mechanism
IN SHORT: High emitting industrial facilities covered by the ‘safeguard mechanism’ (excluding the generation sector) are projected to drive national emissions growth through to 2030, with companies given flexibility to […]
UPDATE: Outlook for ACCU supply and offset prices in Australia through to 2030
As discussion increases over the role of domestic and international carbon credits in Australia, in this update, we present our outlook for supply of Australian carbon credit units (ACCUs) through […]
INSIGHTS: Domestic offsets may be $5-10 under NEG – cheaper than international units
As discussion increases over the role of domestic and international carbon credits in Australia, in this Insights article, we discuss our latest outlook for supply of Australian carbon credit units […]
UPDATE: Uptick in volumes expected at sixth Emissions Reduction Fund auction
RepuTex today published its Outlook for the sixth ERF auction, to be held on December 6-7. In line with auction five, we believe negative sentiment will again undermine the sixth […]
ALERT: ACCUs in the NEG – A carbon price by any other name?
NEG to establish ‘de facto’ carbon price and abatement pathway for power sector Assuming the effective design and implementation of a final policy framework, the government’s announced National Energy Guarantee […]
REPORT: Large-scale abatement potential of the Australian land sector
Analysis indicates that the abatement contribution of the Australian land sector has potential to be vast, with increased investment in land sequestration and tighter land clearing controls able to deliver […]
ARTICLE: Measuring the cost of a 2°C target under the Paris Agreement
Background In becoming a signatory to the Paris Agreement, the federal government has accepted the risk of a significant future liability as Australia begins to transform its economy. At the […]