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INSIGHTS: Domestic offsets may be $5-10 under NEG – cheaper than international units

As discussion increases over the role of domestic and international carbon credits in Australia, in this Insights article, we discuss our latest outlook for supply of Australian carbon credit units (ACCUs) through to 2030.

Analysis maps total volume of supply, and estimated offset prices, based on forecast demand from entities covered by the National Emissions Guarantee (NEG) and safeguard schemes, providing an initial price guide for covered facilities, and a reference point for offset developers active in the ERF and secondary market.

Below, we summarise the key findings and implications for market actors.

Domestic offsets may be the marginal source

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