WEBINAR: Wholesale electricity price forecast for the National Electricity Market

Share on FacebookShare on Google+Tweet about this on TwitterShare on LinkedInEmail this to someone

In this event, we discuss the outcomes of our latest quarterly Australian Electricity Outlook (AEO) for medium- and long-term wholesale price development in each region of the National Electricity Market (NEM). Key topics include:

  • Current wholesale electricity price drivers – Discussion of the key influences on NEM price formation including collapsing fossil fuel prices, lower operational demand and the commissioning of large-scale renewable energy;
  • Wholesale electricity price forecast (Central Case) – Where to for medium- and long-term wholesale electricity prices under current policy?
  • Alternative Case considerations – The interaction between our Central case and Alternative case (step-change scenario)

RepuTex’s AEO provides an outlook for wholesale electricity prices for each region of the NEM over medium- (16 quarters) and long-term horizons (annual to 2040); along with an outlook for LGC prices; outcomes and the major factors impacting the market.

Modelling considers a Central Case for electricity price development in line with RepuTex’s view of the current transition of the energy industry and market drivers, along with an Alternative Case reflecting AEMO’s “Step Change” shift to renewable energy, accounting for faster technological improvements and more aggressive action on climate change in line with a “well below 2°C” Paris climate commitment (achieving net-zero emissions prior to 2050).

To view this recoding, please click here.

LATEST UPDATES

  • What impact will a net-zero emissions target have on forecast ACCU prices?

    Share on FacebookShare on Google+Tweet about this on TwitterShare on LinkedInEmail this to someone

    The Australian carbon market is undergoing a “fundamental repricing” on the prospect of a national […]

    Research Insights | April 7th, 2021
  • OUTLOOK: Long-term Australian carbon price, supply and demand outlook

    Share on FacebookShare on Google+Tweet about this on TwitterShare on LinkedInEmail this to someone

    The price of Australian Carbon Credit Units (ACCUs) has risen 11 per cent calendar year-to-date, […]

    Research Insights | April 7th, 2021
  • ALERT: Australian CO2 spot price hits record high of $18.50/t, up 12% YTD

    Share on FacebookShare on Google+Tweet about this on TwitterShare on LinkedInEmail this to someone

    The price of Australian carbon credit units (ACCUs) reached $18.50/t on Monday, a record high, […]

    Research Insights | February 16th, 2021
  • EU levy could impose carbon price of A$65-140 on Australian exports, with more climate tariffs to come

    Share on FacebookShare on Google+Tweet about this on TwitterShare on LinkedInEmail this to someone

    The European Parliament’s environment committee last week endorsed the proposed Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), […]

    Research Insights | February 10th, 2021
  • Australian carbon offset price climbs past $17/t, a 12-month high: Here’s why

    Share on FacebookShare on Google+Tweet about this on TwitterShare on LinkedInEmail this to someone

    The price of Australian carbon offsets broke through $17 a tonne on Wednesday, reaching a […]

    Research Insights | February 4th, 2021
  • Download this free report

    To start your free download, simply fill in the below form. You will also receive our future updates, event invitations, and research insights by email.
    Share on FacebookShare on Google+Tweet about this on TwitterShare on LinkedInEmail this to someone