• Average price likely to fall at third ERF auction, yet upside potential remains

    RepuTex today released its outlook for the third Emissions Reduction Fund (ERF) auction, presenting our ‘reference case’ estimates in line with our ERF Auction Simulation Tool. 290 projects are currently […]

  • Australian carbon price (2018-30)

  • ERF price simulations

    Ahead of each ERF auction, RepuTex presents its forward looking simulations of auction price outcomes. Findings are drawn from our ERF Auction Simulation Tool, which simulates reverse auction process by […]

  • Emissions data

  • Supply & demand data

  • Beware the “bid plateau” at ERF III – The risk of ‘bidding the average price’

    While on the surface, the first two ERF auctions appeared to be similar – contracting a comparable amount of ACCUs for a similar amount of money – analysis indicates that […]

  • What’s in store for the third Emissions Reduction Fund auction?

    While the second Emissions Reduction Fund auction had potential to be much larger than the first, high competition led to only 1 in 3 projects successfully winning contracts, with larger […]

  • Australia’s “low-cost” ACCU Opportunity – Our ACCU Supply Cost Curve

    While the government has set a modest target to reduce emissions by 26-28 per cent on 2005 levels by 2030, a common assumption is that it is not possible – […]

  • Government rhetoric – not policy – is key regulatory impediment

    Ahead of the federal election, climate policy remains an Achilles heel for the Coalition, with Australia’s growing national emissions profile, and the prospect of a 9-12 month demand gap over […]

  • No peak in sight? National emissions climb through 2020

    The government’s latest emissions projections were released in late December, along with an update to the NGGI for FY 2014-15, providing more detailed insight into the downgrading of Australia’s abatement […]

  • Back to the Future? The ALP’s “soft-start” Emissions Trading Scheme

    Following the release of its indicative target to reduce emissions by 45 per cent on 2005 levels by 2030, the Australian Labor Party (ALP) is expected to provide further detail […]

  • ALERT: Goodbye CERs? Paris Accord may impact offset use

    After two decades of diplomatic promise and failed outcomes, the Paris COP has delivered a landmark agreement to limit global warming to below 2 degrees, beating expectations by delivering a […]