• UPDATE: The impact of a 26-45% NEG target on electricity prices to 2030

    Modelling indicates that increased ambition under the National Energy Guarantee (NEG) will place downward pressure on wholesale electricity prices in the National Electricity Market (NEM) through to 2030. Under the […]

  • UPDATE: Carbon price may double to $35/t in 2030 for industry sector

    With the electricity sector locked into the National Energy Guarantee (NEG), other sectors of the economy will be called on to contribute to Australia’s 2030 target, with high emitting energy, […]

  • UPDATE: Modelling the interaction between the NEG and State RETs

    While initial modelling of the NEG has been undertaken for the Energy Security Board, to date, analysis is yet to fully consider the interaction between the proposed policy and state […]

  • Small ERF auction volumes to open window for high contract prices

    The seventh Emissions Reduction Fund (ERF) auction will take place next week (June 6-7), with $265 million remaining in the government’s $2.55bn fund. In line with our previous auction outlook, […]

  • Choose your own baseline – Industrial emissions and the Safeguard Mechanism

    IN SHORT: High emitting industrial facilities covered by the ‘safeguard mechanism’ (excluding the generation sector) are projected to drive national emissions growth through to 2030, with companies given flexibility to […]

  • UPDATE: Outlook for ACCU supply and offset prices in Australia through to 2030

    As discussion increases over the role of domestic and international carbon credits in Australia, in this update, we present our outlook for supply of Australian carbon credit units (ACCUs) through […]

  • UPDATE: Uptick in volumes expected at sixth Emissions Reduction Fund auction

    RepuTex today published its Outlook for the sixth ERF auction, to be held on December 6-7. In line with auction five, we believe negative sentiment will again undermine the sixth […]

  • Goodbye Gas, Hello Pumped Hydro – Liddell extension and the impact of Snowy 2.0

    In the absence of a Clean Energy Target, the extension of Liddell and the expansion of the Snowy Hydro scheme represent the two core pillars of the government’s energy policy […]

  • REPORT: Setting the Clean Energy Target – Implications for industry & Australia’s 2030 target

    The ambition of the government’s Clean Energy Target (CET) will not only establish the timeline for the phase out of emissions from Australia’s electricity sector, but will also have implications […]

  • REPORT: It’s the economics, stupid. Scenarios for the NEM wholesale price to 2030

    In this update, we present our updated outlook for black and green wholesale electricity price in the NEM to 2030, accounting for current policy settings, along with scenarios for a […]

  • REPORT: Large-scale abatement potential of the Australian land sector

    Analysis indicates that the abatement contribution of the Australian land sector has potential to be vast, with increased investment in land sequestration and tighter land clearing controls able to deliver […]

  • REPORT: Meeting a 2°C target – A marginal abatement cost (MAC) curve for Australia

    In becoming a signatory to the Paris Agreement, the federal government has accepted the risk of a significant future liability as Australia begins to transform its economy. At the same […]